---
type: Synthesis
tier: 40_HORIZONS
strand:
- roadmap
audience:
- researchers
difficulty: advanced
prerequisites:
- agent-roles
- Concept_Metabolic_Pipeline
tags:
- horizon-2
- H2
- swarm
- multi-agent
- autonomy
- A2A
- evidence-bundle
- governed
sources:
- ROADMAP.md
- arifosmcp-metabolic-pipeline-audit-2026-04-08.md
last_sync: '2026-04-10'
confidence: 0.75
---

# Horizon 2: The Multi-Agent Swarm

> **Goal**: Safe, Governed Autonomy
> **Timeline**: H2 2026 (July–December)
> **Status**: 🚧 Design Phase (1/6 complete)
> **Risk Tier**: Medium

---

## Vision

Horizon 2 transitions arifOS from **single-agent constitutional governance** to **multi-agent swarm coordination**. The challenge is not adding more agents—it is ensuring that **safety scales with complexity**.

> *"A swarm without constitution is a mob. A swarm with constitution is a federation."*

---

## Current State (H1 Foundation)

| Component | Status | Evidence |
|-----------|--------|----------|
| Eigent Backend | ✅ Deployed | `eigent.vps.arif-fazil.com` |
| Constitutional MCP | ✅ Active | 10 canonical tools |
| Vault999 Ledger | ✅ Sealing | PostgreSQL + file mirror |
| ToM Integration | ✅ Anchored | All tools require mental models |

---

## H2 Roadmap Tasks

| # | Task | Status | FLOOR | Complexity |
|---|------|--------|-------|------------|
| 1 | **EvidenceBundle & A2A Protocols** | 🚧 Design | F3, F11 | High |
| 2 | **Governed Auto-Deploy** | ⏳ Pending | F1, F13 | High |
| 3 | **Real-time ΔS Gauges** | ⏳ Pending | F4 | Medium |
| 4 | **Cross-Platform MCP Adapters** | ⏳ Pending | F2, F10 | Medium |
| 5 | **Sensitivity & Robustness Studies** | ⏳ Pending | F3, F8 | High |
| 6 | **Qdrant Cross-Agent RAG** | ⏳ Pending | F2, F11 | Medium |

---

## 1. EvidenceBundle & A2A Protocols

### Problem

When agents hand off tasks:

- How does Agent B verify Agent A's work?
- What context must survive the handoff?
- How do we prevent "telephone game" degradation?

### Solution: EvidenceBundle

```json
{
  "bundle_version": "2.0",
  "issuer": {
    "agent_id": "agi_delta_001",
    "session_id": "sess_abc123",
    "authority_level": "agent",
    "vault_anchor": "sha256:..."
  },
  "payload": {
    "intent": "original_human_request",
    "completed_steps": [...],
    "artifacts": [...],
    "telemetry": { "dS": -0.3, "G_star": 0.87 }
  },
  "lineage": {
    "parent_bundle": null,
    "child_bundles": [],
    "chain_hash": "sha256:..."
  },
  "verification": {
    "floor_scores": { "F1": 1.0, "F2": 0.95, ... },
    "verdict": "SEAL",
    "seal_timestamp": "2026-07-15T10:00:00Z"
  }
}

```

### A2A Protocol Mapping

| Google A2A Concept | arifOS Mapping |
|-------------------|----------------|
| Agent Card | `/.well-known/arifos_json` |
| Task | EvidenceBundle + intent |
| Artifact | Vault999-sealed output |
| State | Metabolic pipeline stage |

---

## 2. Governed Auto-Deploy

### Scope

Terraform/Pulumi infrastructure changes gated by Vault999.

```
Developer pushes code
        │
        ▼
┌───────────────┐
│   CI/CD Hook  │
└───────┬───────┘
        │
        ▼
┌───────────────┐
│ arifos_judge  │←── Evaluates: F1 (reversibility), F13 (sovereignty)
│ (terraform    │    F9 (blast radius), F6 (stakeholder impact)
│  plan mode)   │
└───────┬───────┘
        │
    ┌───┴───┐
    │VERDICT│
    └───┬───┘
   SEAL │ VOID/HOLD
        │    │
        ▼    ▼
   ┌────────┐ ┌────────┐
   │ APPLY  │ │  STOP  │
   │(forge) │ │(notify)│
   └────────┘ └────────┘

```

### 888_HOLD Triggers

- Database migrations (destructive schema changes)
- Production deployments (user-facing impact)
- Credential rotations (F11 authority)
- Resource scaling >10x (thermodynamic shock)

---

## 3. Real-time ΔS & psi_LE Gauges

### Thermodynamic Dashboard

`/dashboard` visualization of system entropy:

| Gauge | Metric | Threshold |
|-------|--------|-----------|
| **ΔS System** | Net entropy change | ≤ 0 (F4) |
| **ψ_LE** | Life Energy Index | > 0.5 (healthy) |
| **Peace²** | Risk curvature | ≥ 1.0 (F5) |
| **G★** | Genius Index | ≥ 0.80 (F8) |
| **C_dark** | Shadow Cleverness | < 0.30 (F9) |

### 3D Visualization Concept

```
        Ψ (Soul/Authority)
        │
        │    G★ apex
       / \
      /   \
     /     \
    /   ●   \
   /  (swarm) \
  /─────────────\
 Δ               Ω
(Human)       (Mind)

```

The swarm operates within the constitutional tetrahedron—any drift toward a face triggers SABAR.

---

## 4. Cross-Platform MCP Adapters

### Platform Matrix

| Platform | Adapter | Status | F10 Risk |
|----------|---------|--------|----------|
| OpenAI | `adapter_openai.py` | 🚧 WIP | Medium (API drift) |
| Anthropic | `adapter_anthropic.py` | ⏳ Pending | Medium |
| Google | `adapter_gemini.py` | ⏳ Pending | Low |
| Local (Ollama) | Native | ✅ Active | Low |

### Adapter Contract

Every adapter must:

1. Preserve ToM field requirements
2. Map native errors to arifOS verdicts
3. Maintain Vault999 audit chain
4. Respect platform rate limits (F7 humility)

---

## 5. Sensitivity & Robustness Studies

### Formal Analysis Goals

| Study | Question | Method |
|-------|----------|--------|
| **Floor Sensitivity** | How does verdict change with input perturbation? | Monte Carlo |
| **Consensus Robustness** | Does W₄ ≥ 0.75 hold under Byzantine failure? | TLA+ model |
| **G★ Calibration** | Is Genius scoring unbiased across domains? | Benchmark suite |
| **Entropy Stability** | Does ΔS ≤ 0 converge or oscillate? | Dynamical systems |

---

## 6. Qdrant Cross-Agent RAG

### Memory Architecture

```
┌─────────────────────────────────────────┐
│         Qdrant Vector Store             │
│  ┌─────────┐ ┌─────────┐ ┌─────────┐   │
│  │ Agent A │ │ Agent B │ │ Agent C │   │
│  │ Memory  │ │ Memory  │ │ Memory  │   │
│  └────┬────┘ └────┬────┘ └────┬────┘   │
│       └─────────────┼─────────────┘     │
│                     │                   │
│              ┌──────┴──────┐            │
│              │ AAA Canon   │            │
│              │ (shared)    │            │
│              └─────────────┘            │
└─────────────────────────────────────────┘

```

### Index Priority

1. **AAA Canon** (constitutional documents) — indexed first
2. **Agent Session Memory** — TTL 7 days
3. **Human Preferences** — persistent, highest relevance weight

---

## Risk Assessment

| Risk | Probability | Impact | Mitigation |
|------|-------------|--------|------------|
| A2A protocol lock-in | Medium | High | Adapter abstraction layer |
| Swarm emergent behavior | Low | Critical | Hard F1 limits, 888 circuit breaker |
| Cross-platform drift | High | Medium | Automated conformance testing |
| RAG pollution | Medium | High | F2 epistemic verification |

---

## Success Criteria

Horizon 2 is complete when:

1. ✅ 3+ agents can exchange EvidenceBundles with Vault999 anchoring
2. ✅ Auto-deploy achieves <5min mean time to SEAL for routine changes
3. ✅ Dashboard shows real-time ΔS with 99.9% uptime
4. ✅ Cross-platform adapters pass 100% of constitutional test suite
5. ✅ Sensitivity studies published (academic or technical blog)

---

## Transition to Horizon 3

H2 establishes **governed autonomy at the software layer**. H3 will harden this to the **hardware layer**:

```
H2: Software Swarm ──> H3: Hardware-Anchored Sovereignty
       (Ω APPS)              (Ψ THEORY physicalized)

```

---

> [!CAUTION]
> **H2 is the danger zone**. Most AI safety failures occur at the transition from single-agent to multi-agent systems. The 13 Floors were designed for this moment. Every H2 feature must demonstrate **F3 Tri-Witness ≥ 0.95** before production release.

---

**Related:** [[Roadmap]] | [[Eigent_Backend]] | [[Horizon_3_Universal_Body]] | [[Concept_Metabolic_Pipeline]] | [[Concept_Vault999_Architecture]]
