# Analysis: [question] — [date] · analyst: [name]

**Question as asked:** … · **Question as answerable with this data:** *(if different, say so)*
**Decision this feeds:** …

## Answer (confidence-labelled)
[The finding in 2-3 sentences: solid / probable / speculative]

## The evidence
[The 1-2 charts/cuts that carry it — each with n, window, and definition]

## Integrity checks run (references/analysis-integrity.md)
- [ ] Row-count sanity vs known totals · [ ] window edges trimmed
- [ ] Instrumentation changelog checked: [clean / found: …]
- [ ] Decomposed by [segments]: [pattern holds / driven by mix: …]
- [ ] Denominators interrogated: […]
- [ ] Seasonality handled: [YoY / n.a.]
- [ ] Disconfirming query run: [what would kill it → result]

## Causal status
[associated / predicts / experiment needed — never "drives" without design]

## So what
This supports: [decision-shaped sentence] · Next: [test/instrumentation if speculative]

**Repro:** [query/notebook link] · Definitions: [metric dictionary links]
