# Autonomous RSI Capability Governance Twin Proof

Generated: `2026-06-01T04:05:24Z`

## Thesis

SkillOS tests capability releases in a governance digital twin before production.

Core mechanism:

> capability route → governance twin → policy-as-code → permission boundary → shadow simulation → verifier coverage → rollback path → release gate → public receipt

## Final locked holdout result

- Value capture: **97.6124%**
- Minimum domain capture: **95.478%**
- Frontier-correct rate: **70.5566%**
- Policy violation rate: **0.0%**
- Shadow/production gap rate: **0.0%**
- Risk breach rate: **0.0%**
- Governance twin fidelity score: **57.8195%**
- Policy coverage score: **60.3235%**
- Permission hygiene score: **59.3753%**
- Observability score: **70.4825%**
- Benchmark value at stake: **$13.16T**
- Benchmark value captured: **$12.84T**
- Strongest safe control: **local_governance_silos**
- Gain over strongest safe control: **$166.66B**

## Skills used

- **Governance Twin Construction** (Twin): Builds a deterministic shadow model of the capability network before production release.
- **Policy-as-Code Compilation** (Policy): Converts governance boundaries into machine-checkable policy constraints.
- **Permission Boundary Mapping** (Access Control): Maps each route to allowed skills, agents, tools, and data scopes.
- **Shadow Route Simulation** (Twin): Runs candidate capability routes in the twin before production promotion.
- **Verifier Coverage Allocation** (Verification): Allocates verifier courts to high-risk and high-value routes.
- **Policy Violation Detection** (Safety): Rejects candidate routes that violate policy, access, or disclosure constraints.
- **Rollback Path Planning** (Safety): Ensures a safe containment or reversal path exists before release.
- **Incident Counterfactual Replay** (Reliability): Replays past incidents and near misses against candidate protocol updates.
- **SLA Stress Testing** (Reliability): Tests latency, capacity, quality, and verifier timing under load.
- **Drift Monitor** (Continual Learning): Detects divergence between the governance twin and observed production-like traces.
- **Red-Team Scenario Synthesis** (Adversarial): Generates adversarial policy, permission, and reliability scenarios.
- **Control Plane Release Gating** (RSI): Promotes only updates that improve validation metrics without policy or risk regression.
- **Provenance Binding** (Trust): Binds skills, routes, policies, verifier decisions, and receipts into a replayable chain.
- **Observability Plan** (Operations): Defines the telemetry required to detect failure, drift, and policy gaps.
- **Capacity / Cost Control** (Economics): Balances verifier coverage and routing capacity against cost pressure.
- **Cross-Domain Policy Transfer** (Transfer): Transfers proven policy and verifier patterns across adjacent domains.
- **Control Gap Mining** (Compounding): Turns failed gates and incidents into new verifier, policy, or skill backlog items.
- **Executive Twin Receipt Rendering** (Communication): Renders twin results, skills used, gates, controls, and public receipts for review.

## Baselines and controls

| System | Value capture | Policy violation | Shadow gap | Risk breach |
|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| single_governance_agent | 63.5368% | 2.8809% | 6.5918% | 0.0% |
| static_policy_table | 71.2415% | 0.0% | 4.4434% | 0.0% |
| local_governance_silos | 96.3456% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| direct_deploy_no_twin | 89.6802% | 0.3906% | 3.2227% | 0.0% |
| permission_blind_router | 83.1703% | 3.125% | 0.0% | 0.0977% |

## Pre-registered gates

- ✅ `large_governance_twin`
- ✅ `locked_holdout_scale`
- ✅ `domain_coverage`
- ✅ `skills_catalog_present`
- ✅ `rsi_release_count`
- ✅ `value_capture_threshold`
- ✅ `minimum_domain_capture_threshold`
- ✅ `policy_violation_zero`
- ✅ `shadow_gap_zero`
- ✅ `risk_breach_zero`
- ✅ `unauthorized_action_zero`
- ✅ `beats_static_policy_table`
- ✅ `beats_local_governance_silos`
- ✅ `rejects_direct_deploy_no_twin`
- ✅ `rejects_permission_blind_router`
- ✅ `bootstrap_p05_vs_strongest_safe_control_positive`

## Boundary

Benchmark-capital-equivalent values are not live revenue, customer results, financial guarantees, legal advice, audit certification, policy advice, token advice, medical advice, or proof of achieved superintelligence.
