# Autonomous RSI Skill Compounding Moat Proof

Generated: `2026-05-31T23:41:21Z`

## Thesis

SkillOS tests whether one verified skill can improve the whole network.

Core mechanism:

> work trace → verified skill → provenance ledger → release gate → network routing upgrade → cross-domain reuse → future work improvement → compounding moat

## Final locked holdout result

- Value capture: **96.9765%**
- Minimum domain capture: **94.3155%**
- Frontier-correct rate: **66.9922%**
- Skill reuse score: **55.707%**
- Cross-domain transfer score: **34.3131%**
- Provenance integrity score: **62.2718%**
- Weak-domain rate: **0.0%**
- Risk breach rate: **0.0%**
- Benchmark value at stake: **$2.71T**
- Benchmark value captured: **$2.63T**
- Strongest control: **local_memory_silos**
- Gain over strongest control: **$50.40B**

## Baselines and controls

| System | Value capture | Minimum domain capture | Weak-domain rate | Risk breach |
|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| single_generalist | 74.5914% | 65.508% | 100.0% | 0.8301% |
| static_skill_catalog | 94.9783% | 91.6039% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| local_memory_silos | 95.1163% | 90.8781% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| unverified_sharing | 96.2538% | 92.4706% | 0.0% | 0.4395% |
| random_skill_sharing | 93.8564% | 87.6684% | 8.3333% | 0.0% |

## Pre-registered gates

- ✅ `large_specialist_skill_market`
- ✅ `locked_holdout_scale`
- ✅ `domain_coverage`
- ✅ `rsi_release_count`
- ✅ `value_capture_threshold`
- ✅ `minimum_domain_capture_threshold`
- ✅ `weak_domain_zero`
- ✅ `risk_breach_zero`
- ✅ `unauthorized_action_zero`
- ✅ `beats_static_skill_catalog`
- ✅ `beats_local_memory_silos`
- ✅ `rejects_unverified_sharing`
- ✅ `bootstrap_p05_vs_strongest_control_positive`

## Boundary

Benchmark-capital-equivalent values are not live revenue, customer results, financial guarantees, legal advice, policy advice, token advice, or proof of achieved superintelligence.
