---
pattern: 6
type: success
name: Formulaic Challenges and Prospects
pack: en-content
language: en
---

# Pattern 6 (en): Formulaic Challenges and Prospects — Success Case

## Input Text

> Despite these challenges, the electric vehicle industry remains poised for significant growth in the coming years. While it remains to be seen how battery supply chains will adapt to rising demand, the sector clearly stands at a crossroads. With continued innovation and investment from both public and private sectors, the future looks undeniably bright for sustainable transportation.

## Expected Output

> The main bottleneck is cathode-grade lithium supply: Benchmark Mineral Intelligence projects a 200,000-tonne shortfall by 2028 unless three planned Australian mines begin extraction on schedule. If the shortfall materializes, average battery pack costs — currently around $139 per kWh — could rise 15-20%, which would push the price of a base-model EV above $40,000 again. GM and Hyundai have both signed offtake agreements through 2030 to hedge against this risk; Tesla has not.

## Applied Pattern

- Pattern 6 (Formulaic Challenges and Prospects): "Despite these challenges" + "poised for significant growth" + "remains to be seen" + "stands at a crossroads" + "the future looks undeniably bright" — the paragraph hits both poles of the formula: generic challenge acknowledgment followed by generic optimism pivot. Five formulaic phrases in three sentences.

## Judgment

**Success** — The fire condition is clearly met: the paragraph contains both a generic challenge phrase ("despite these challenges", "remains to be seen") and a generic optimism phrase ("poised for significant growth", "future looks undeniably bright"). This is the classic AI two-step — acknowledge a vague obstacle, then pivot to vague hope. No specific obstacle is named, no timeline is given, and no concrete outcome is predicted. The corrected version names the actual bottleneck (lithium supply), gives numbers (200,000 tonnes, $139/kWh), and specifies which companies are doing what about it.
